tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:07 MHT → 14:36 CLT
    AA 5294 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 29m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 CLT → 19:33 IAD
    AA 2953 · American · 1h 29m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 26mMHT 12:07 to IAD 19:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.