tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → New York via Washington: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 GRR → 07:48 DCA
    AA 5301 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 50m · 88% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 DCA → 11:25 LGA
    AA 4491 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 25mGRR 06:00 to LGA 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.