tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Atlanta via Washington: arrives on time 34%

  1. 13:07 MSN → 16:20 DCA
    AA 5308 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 13m · 67% on time, 8.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:23 DCA → 19:28 ATL
    AA 5560 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 05m · 61% on time, 13.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (8.2% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (13.9% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 21mMSN 13:07 to ATL 19:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.