tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → White Plains via Washington: arrives on time 50%

  1. 06:30 MSP → 10:11 DCA
    AA 5312 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 41m · 87% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:59 DCA → 14:30 HPN
    AA 5254 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 60% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (White Plains is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 00mMSP 06:30 to HPN 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.