tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Milwaukee via Washington: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:30 MSP → 10:11 DCA
    AA 5312 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 41m · 87% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:12 DCA → 12:19 MKE
    AA 5286 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 53mMSP 06:30 to MKE 12:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.