tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:34 BHM → 17:37 DFW
    AA 5316 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 03m · 48% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:39 DFW → 23:33 BNA
    AA 2979 · American · 1h 54m · 57% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 197 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 02m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 59mBHM 15:34 to BNA 23:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.