tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:49 BHM → 19:00 DFW
    AA 5329 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 61% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 DFW → 00:35 PHL +1 day
    AA 2542 · American · 3h 16m · 56% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 46mBHM 16:49 to PHL 00:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.