tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Detroit via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:49 BHM → 19:00 DFW
    AA 5329 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 61% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 DFW → 23:40 DTW
    AA 690 · American · 2h 45m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 51mBHM 16:49 to DTW 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.