tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Detroit via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 11:24 ORF → 12:55 CLT
    AA 5331 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:43 CLT → 15:31 DTW
    AA 1770 · American · 1h 48m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 07mORF 11:24 to DTW 15:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.