tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Columbus via Washington: arrives on time 11%

  1. 17:00 IAH → 21:16 DCA
    AA 5333 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 16m · 38% on time, 19.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:15 DCA → 23:50 CMH
    AA 5197 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 35m · 47% on time, 26.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (19.2% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (26.9% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 50mIAH 17:00 to CMH 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.