tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 12:47 PNS → 15:43 CLT
    AA 5349 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 54m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 CLT → 18:29 LGA
    AA 1722 · American · 2h 03m · 54% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 46mPNS 12:47 to LGA 18:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.