tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Orlando via Washington: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:33 ROC → 06:59 DCA
    AA 5351 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 26m · 93% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 DCA → 10:14 MCO
    AA 3273 · American · 2h 29m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip4h 41mROC 05:33 to MCO 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.