tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Washington: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:33 ROC → 06:59 DCA
    AA 5351 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 26m · 93% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 DCA → 11:25 LGA
    AA 4491 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 52mROC 05:33 to LGA 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.