tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:55 PNS → 16:04 DFW
    AA 5353 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 09m · 57% on time, 9.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DFW → 22:17 PHL
    AA 991 · American · 3h 47m · 52% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (9.6% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 22mPNS 13:55 to PHL 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.