tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:23 MEM → 19:24 CLT
    AA 5357 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 01m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 CLT → 22:21 MIA
    AA 2321 · American · 2h 06m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 58mMEM 16:23 to MIA 22:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.