tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Dallas-Fort Worth via Washington: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:56 RDU → 17:24 DCA
    AA 5367 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 26m · 43% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:58 DCA → 21:29 DFW
    AA 1158 · American · 3h 26m · 61% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 28mRDU 15:56 to DFW 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.