tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 55%

  1. 12:06 ROC → 14:15 CLT
    AA 5377 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 09m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:02 CLT → 20:06 JFK
    AA 657 · American · 2h 04m · 58% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip8h 00mROC 12:06 to JFK 20:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.