tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Charlotte: arrives on time 39%

  1. 12:00 SDF → 13:38 CLT
    AA 5395 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 38m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 CLT → 16:03 LAS
    AA 750 · American · 4h 38m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 03mSDF 12:00 to LAS 16:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.