tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Denver via Charlotte: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:39 SDF → 17:24 CLT
    AA 5397 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 CLT → 20:17 DEN
    AA 1736 · American · 3h 45m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 38mSDF 15:39 to DEN 20:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.