tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Charlotte: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:39 SDF → 17:24 CLT
    AA 5397 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:41 CLT → 20:33 IAH
    AA 2935 · American · 2h 52m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 54mSDF 15:39 to IAH 20:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.