tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Charlotte: arrives on time 51%

  1. 15:39 SDF → 17:24 CLT
    AA 5397 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 CLT → 20:17 LAS
    AA 596 · American · 4h 47m · 69% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 38mSDF 15:39 to LAS 20:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.