tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dallas via Washington: arrives on time 40%

  1. 10:06 SDF → 11:54 DCA
    AA 5400 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 48m · 79% on time, 11.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:00 DCA → 16:10 DAL
    WN 3660 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 58% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (11.4% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 04mSDF 10:06 to DAL 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.