tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Atlanta via Washington: arrives on time 26%

  1. 17:26 HPN → 18:58 DCA
    AA 5401 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 32m · 56% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DCA → 22:03 ATL
    AA 5502 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 02m · 60% on time, 18.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (18.3% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 35mHPN 17:26 to ATL 22:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.