tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Detroit via Washington: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:26 HPN → 18:58 DCA
    AA 5401 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 32m · 56% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DCA → 22:44 DTW
    AA 5597 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 51% on time, 9.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (9.3% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 17mHPN 17:26 to DTW 22:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.