Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Francisco via Philadelphia: arrives on time 23%

  1. 17:18 DCA → 18:32 PHL
    AA 5406 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 14m · 39% on time, 10.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:46 PHL → 23:10 SFO
    AA 3166 · American · 6h 24m · 57% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (10.2% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip8h 52mDCA 17:18 to SFO 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.