Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:18 DCA → 18:32 PHL
    AA 5406 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 14m · 39% on time, 10.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 PHL → 22:02 MSP
    AA 5460 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 12m · 70% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (10.2% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 44mDCA 17:18 to MSP 22:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.