tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Grand Rapids via Philadelphia: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:18 DCA → 18:32 PHL
    AA 5406 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 14m · 39% on time, 10.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 23:58 GRR
    AA 5493 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 08m · 73% on time, 12.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (10.2% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (12.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 40mDCA 17:18 to GRR 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.