Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dayton via Philadelphia: arrives on time 19%

  1. 17:18 DCA → 18:32 PHL
    AA 5406 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 14m · 39% on time, 10.2% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:19 PHL → 21:25 DAY
    AA 5586 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 79% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (10.2% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 07mDCA 17:18 to DAY 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.