tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 93%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 09:28 PHL
    AA 5409 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 28m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHL → 12:40 PHX
    AA 478 · American · 4h 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 40mMEM 06:00 to PHX 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.