tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:49 TUL → 17:13 DFW
    AA 5420 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 24m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 23:59 DCA
    AA 2077 · American · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 10mTUL 15:49 to DCA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.