tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:49 TUL → 17:13 DFW
    AA 5420 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 24m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 DFW → 22:05 MIA
    AA 2206 · American · 2h 55m · 56% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 16mTUL 15:49 to MIA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.