tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → San Diego via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:49 TUL → 17:13 DFW
    AA 5420 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 24m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 DFW → 19:20 SAN
    AA 3195 · American · 3h 05m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip5h 31mTUL 15:49 to SAN 19:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.