tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 41%

  1. 07:01 TYS → 08:34 DFW
    AA 5425 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 33m · 77% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 DFW → 13:59 LGA
    AA 3053 · American · 3h 29m · 59% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 58mTYS 07:01 to LGA 13:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.