tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Fort Myers via Philadelphia: arrives on time 38%

  1. 16:26 DTW → 18:15 PHL
    AA 5427 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 48% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 PHL → 22:57 RSW
    AA 2571 · American · 2h 57m · 62% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 31mDTW 16:26 to RSW 22:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.