tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Boston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:09 TVC → 14:09 PHL
    AA 5430 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 PHL → 18:57 BOS
    AA 1776 · American · 1h 27m · 64% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 48mTVC 12:09 to BOS 18:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.