tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Atlanta via Philadelphia: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:09 TVC → 14:09 PHL
    AA 5430 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 PHL → 19:55 ATL
    AA 3041 · American · 2h 20m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 46mTVC 12:09 to ATL 19:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.