Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:09 TVC → 14:09 PHL
    AA 5430 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 PHL → 17:29 ORD
    AA 470 · American · 2h 44m · 64% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 20mTVC 12:09 to ORD 17:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.