tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 10:00 HPN → 12:00 CLT
    AA 5431 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:54 CLT → 14:38 TPA
    AA 2832 · American · 1h 44m · 75% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 38mHPN 10:00 to TPA 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.