tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:00 HPN → 12:00 CLT
    AA 5431 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:34 CLT → 16:13 DCA
    AA 2839 · American · 1h 39m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 13mHPN 10:00 to DCA 16:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.