tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → St Louis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 07:22 PNS → 09:35 DFW
    AA 5437 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 13m · 72% on time, 6.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:41 DFW → 12:44 STL
    AA 5655 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 03m · 70% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (6.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 22mPNS 07:22 to STL 12:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.