tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Las Vegas via Philadelphia: arrives on time 63%

  1. 05:44 CVG → 07:34 PHL
    AA 5438 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 50m · 89% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:32 PHL → 10:48 LAS
    AA 2018 · American · 5h 17m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 05mCVG 05:44 to LAS 10:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.