tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:44 CVG → 07:34 PHL
    AA 5438 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 50m · 89% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 PHL → 13:09 PHX
    AA 646 · American · 5h 04m · 84% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 25mCVG 05:44 to PHX 13:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.