tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Miami via Philadelphia: arrives on time 58%

  1. 05:44 CVG → 07:34 PHL
    AA 5438 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 50m · 89% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 PHL → 12:59 MIA
    AA 796 · American · 2h 59m · 70% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 15mCVG 05:44 to MIA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.