tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Boston via Charlotte: arrives on time 28%

  1. 18:37 VPS → 21:34 CLT
    AA 5439 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 57m · 48% on time, 10.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:26 CLT → 00:37 BOS +1 day
    AA 1843 · American · 2h 11m · 71% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (10.1% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 00mVPS 18:37 to BOS 00:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.