tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:27 MEM → 09:50 DCA
    AA 5441 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 23m · 94% on time, 9.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:55 DCA → 14:38 MIA
    AA 1627 · American · 2h 43m · 76% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (9.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 11mMEM 06:27 to MIA 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.