tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Nashville via Washington: arrives on time 49%

  1. 06:27 MEM → 09:50 DCA
    AA 5441 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 23m · 94% on time, 9.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:00 DCA → 13:50 BNA
    WN 1427 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 56% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (9.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 23mMEM 06:27 to BNA 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.