tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Dallas-Fort Worth via Fayetteville/Springdale/: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:17 CLT → 17:53 XNA
    AA 5443 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 34m · 60% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Fayetteville/Springdale/ (XNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 XNA → 20:15 DFW
    AA 3837 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 30m · 59% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 58mCLT 16:17 to DFW 20:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.