tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Los Angeles via Washington: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:07 CVG → 07:50 DCA
    AA 5445 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 48m · 76% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 DCA → 11:19 LAX
    AA 1966 · American · 5h 39m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 12mCVG 06:07 to LAX 11:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.