tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 11:07 XNA → 14:30 CLT
    AA 5446 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 23m · 81% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:18 CLT → 17:15 LGA
    AA 1942 · American · 1h 56m · 65% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 07mXNA 11:07 to LGA 17:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.