tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 09:44 PHL → 12:00 ATL
    AA 5461 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 16m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:15 ATL → 17:23 ROC
    DL 2047 · Delta · 2h 08m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 39mPHL 09:44 to ROC 17:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.